Premier League predictions: Chelsea, Liverpool to respond after Man City rout, says Jones Knows | Football News

After identifying six winning corners out of nine—all contrarian—last weekend, as well as a winning base bet 7/2, Jones Nos is back for the midweek move.

Any Jones Knows Weekend Winners?

  • Man City to win and under 3.5 goals at 6/5
  • Chelsea wins over 3.5 goals at 11/10
  • Aston Villa +2 bet at 6/5
  • Liverpool won 1-0 at 8/1
  • Brentford vs Watford over 2.5 and BTTS at 6/5
  • Palace vs Everton, the second half with the most goals at 11/10
  • Newcastle +2 corner kick against Leicester at 11/10
  • Jones knows double the weekend 7/2

Chelsea – Everton, Thursday 7.45pm

Not sure I’d like to attack Chelsea here on 2/9 as Sky Bet watched them stumble on their way to a rather lucky win over Leeds at the weekend. The Blues have dropped their levels in the past three weeks and it’s hard to say why or how this has happened. Even Thiago Silva looked rushed and sloppy against Leeds.

Maybe it’s just confidence, and Everton could be the perfect tonic for the European champions to find him again. Everton have not won in six away games, lost each of their last four games in a row and have a habit under Rafa Benitez to ask teams questions only when they are behind a goal or two. They can’t afford to do that at Stamford Bridge.

I’m going to shift match prices and focus on player shots with Antonio Rudiger still being overpriced in this particular market.

Rudiger, who also loves to strike from distance, has had at least one shot on target in 14 of his last 15 matches in all competitions and has hit two or more times in six of his last 12 Premier League matches. Rudiger is a threat from set-pieces, an area where Everton have a reputation for being sloppy without Yerry Mina. And James Tomkins scored, on Sunday, the eighth goal that Everton conceded this season from set-pieces this season.

They will absorb the pressure and Jordan Pickford’s shots should come from all angles. Rudiger can fire two of them at 9/4 with the Sky Bet.

Predict the score: 2-0

Corner betting: Antonio Rudiger takes two or more shots on goal (9/4 with Sky Bet)

Liverpool vs Newcastle match, Thursday at 8 pm

Say a small prayer to defend Newcastle. Liverpool is 1/11 to win at home and for good reason.

With a routine win over Liverpool’s papers, we could see a scenario in which the entire match but as a contest is over by 60 minutes. This got me interested in a game that produces quite a few cards. Liverpool’s matches against lower-ranked teams are usually low due to opposition teams’ unwillingness or inability to make the game open. One-sided matches are usually low on the cards.

In the last 22 games against teams that have finished the season in the bottom four or are currently in the bottom four, Liverpool’s games have averaged just 1.7 cards per 90 minutes.

Interestingly, eight of those matches did not produce cards for both teams which has become a common feature in these types of matches as five of the last seven have seen the card count at zero. Two of those matches – Liverpool 2-0 Burnley and West Brom 2-2 Liverpool – were refereed by Mike Dean, who seems to have allowed the match to flow much more than in his younger days.

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Referee Mike Dean does not usually show cards when refereeing at Liverpool

He’s taking over here which adds more fuel to the low card argument. He also officiated Liverpool against Brighton this season and it took 89 minutes to wave the first yellow card before appearing three more in stoppage time. In a one-sided game that can go down to the pace of the pedestrians, it’s 12/1 for Dean to show no tickle-worthy cards.

Predict the score: 3-0

Bet Angle: Neither team will be shown a card (12/1 with Sky Bet)

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